Homebuying Tips

Experts Say Prices Are Only Going Up Soo Should I Buy a Home Right Now?

~ bwebster

At one point or another, you’ve probably heard someone say, “Yesterday was the best time to buy a home, but the next best time is today.”

That’s because nationally, home values continue to rise. And with mortgage rates still stubbornly high and home prices going up, you may be holding out for prices to fall or trying to time the market for that perfect rate. But here’s the truth: waiting for the right moment could cost you in the long run.

Home Prices Are Still Rising – Just at a More Normal Pace

The idea that prices will drop dramatically is wishful thinking in most markets. According to the Home Price Expectations Survey from Fannie Mae, industry analysts are saying prices are projected to keep rising through at least 2029.

While we’re no longer seeing the steep spikes of previous years, experts project a steady and sustainable increase of around 3-4% per year, nationally. And the good news is, this is a much more normal pace – a welcome sign for hopeful buyers (see graph below):

What This Means for You

While it’s tempting to wait it out for prices or mortgage rates to decline before you buy, here’s what you’ll need to consider if you do.

  • Tomorrow’s home prices will be higher than today’s. The longer you wait, the more that purchase price will go up.
  • Waiting for the perfect mortgage rate or a price drop may backfire. Even if rates dip slightly, rising home prices could still make waiting more expensive overall.
  • Buying now means building equity sooner. Home values are rising, which means your investment starts growing as soon as you buy.

Let’s put real numbers into this equation. If you purchase a $400,000 home today, based on these price forecasts, it’s expected to go up in value by more than $83,000 over the next five years. That’s some serious money back in your pocket instead of being left on the sidelines (see graph below):

Why Aren’t Prices Dropping? It’s All About Supply and Demand

Even though there are more homes for sale right now than there were at this time last year, or even last month, there still aren’t enough of them on the market for all the buyers who want to purchase them. And that puts continued upward pressure on prices. As Redfin puts it:

“Prices will rise at a pace similar to that of the second half of 2024 because we don’t expect there to be enough new inventory to meet demand.”

While every market is different, most areas will continue to see moderate price growth. Some may level off a bit, but a major national drop? Not likely.

Bottom Line

Time in the Market Beats Timing the Market

If you’re debating whether to buy now or wait, remember this: real estate rewards those who get in the market, not those who try to time it perfectly.

Yes, today’s housing market has its challenges, but there are ways to make it work —exploring different neighborhoods, considering smaller condos or townhomes, asking your lender about alternative financing, or tapping into down payment assistance programs. The key is making a move when it makes sense for you rather than waiting for a perfect scenario that may never arrive.

Want to take a look at what’s happening with prices in our local market? Whether you’re ready to buy now or just exploring your options, having a plan in place can set you up for success.

Homeownership is about its future value

~ bwebster

When it comes to housing, the debate between owning and renting often boils down to finances. While renting may offer short-term flexibility, homeownership provides significant financial benefits that renters miss out on. From appreciation to building equity and increasing your wealth, owning a home is an investment in your future.

One of the most compelling financial reasons to own a home is appreciation. Over time, real estate tends to increase in value, allowing homeowners to build wealth simply by holding onto their property. This appreciation means that what you buy today could be worth significantly more in the future, boosting your financial portfolio.

Equity building is another powerful advantage of homeownership. Each mortgage payment you make reduces your loan balance, effectively transferring more of the property’s value to you. Unlike rent, which disappears into a landlord’s pocket, your mortgage payments help you own more of your home every month.

Early payments may be interest-heavy, but over time, a larger portion goes toward the principal. This gradual payoff increases your ownership stake and creates a form of forced savings that builds wealth over the long term.

Homeowners can deduct mortgage interest and property taxes, but many currently take advantage of the higher standard deduction introduced by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 instead of itemizing. However, future changes to tax laws such as an increased limit on property tax deductions could make itemizing more beneficial for homeowners. These savings can make owning a home even more affordable than renting.

A fixed-rate mortgage offers payment stability, a stark contrast to rising rents in competitive markets. While rent increases can strain your budget, a fixed mortgage ensures predictable housing costs, giving you long-term financial security. This stability is a significant financial advantage, especially for families planning for the future.

While the financial benefits are compelling, owning a home also offers practical and emotional advantages. The ability to customize your living space, establish roots in a community, and build generational wealth makes homeownership an appealing choice. These perks enhance the financial rewards, creating a lifestyle that renting rarely matches.

Owning a home is more than just a place to live, it’s an investment in your financial future. With appreciation, equity building, and tax benefits working in your favor, homeownership offers a path to long-term wealth and stability. When paired with emotional and lifestyle benefits, it’s clear why owning a home is often better than renting.

To see a personal projection of how homeownership could benefit you financially, check out our Rent vs. Own analysis.  We’d love to get together to talk about it with you.

Here’s How To Buy a Home Without Waiting for Lower Rates

~ bwebster

Many people are hoping mortgage rates will come down before they buy a home. But will that actually happen? According to the latest forecasts, experts say rates will decline, but not by as much as a lot of people want.

The good news? Even if they don’t drop substantially, there are still ways to make buying a home more affordable.

How Much Will Rates Drop?

A few months ago, experts were forecasting mortgage rates could dip below 6% by the end of the year. But recent projections suggest that may not happen after all.

While mortgage rates are still expected to decline some later this year, projections from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and Wells Fargo now show them stabilizing closer to 6.5% by the end of the year (see below):

a blue and white graph with numbers and textThat means if you’re holding off on buying a home in hopes of much lower mortgage rates, you may be waiting a while. And if you need to move because something in your life has changed, like a new job, a new baby, or a marriage – waiting that long may not be an option.

Creative Financing Options in Today’s Market

Since rates aren’t expected to decline as much as originally expected, it may be worth considering alternative financing options that could help you get into a home sooner rather than later. Here are three strategies to discuss with your lender to see if any of these make sense for you:

1. Mortgage Buydowns

A mortgage buydown allows you to pay an upfront fee to lower your mortgage rate for a set period of time. This can be especially helpful if you want or need a lower monthly payment early on. In fact, 27% of agents say first-time homebuyers are increasingly requesting buydowns from sellers in order to buy a home right now.

2. Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) typically start with a lower mortgage rate than a traditional 30-year fixed mortgage. This makes them an attractive option, especially if you expect rates to drop in the coming years or plan to refinance later.

And if you remember the housing crash, know that today’s ARMs aren’t like the risky ones back then. Lance Lambert, Co-Founder of ResiClub, helps drive this point home by saying:

“. . . ARM products today are different from many of the products issued in the mid-2000s. Before 2008, lenders often approved ARMs based on borrowers ability to pay the initial lower interest rates. And sometimes they didn’t even check that (remember Ninja loans). Today, adjustable-rate borrowers qualify based on their ability to cover a higher monthly payment, not just the initial lower payment.”

In simple terms, banks used to give loans without checking to see if buyers could afford them. Now, lenders verify income, assets, and jobs, reducing the risks associated with ARMs compared to the past.

3. Assumable Mortgages

An assumable mortgage allows you to take over the seller’s existing loan — including its lower mortgage rate. And with more than 11 million homes qualifying for this option according to U.S. News, it’s worth exploring if you want or need a better rate.

Bottom Line

Waiting for a big decline in mortgage rates may not be the best strategy. Instead, options like buydowns, ARMs, or assumable mortgages could make homeownership more affordable right now. Connect with a local lender to explore what works for you.

How does this impact your homebuying plans this year?

Why Buying a Home May Help Shield You from Inflation…

~ bwebster

It feels like everything is getting more expensive these days. That’s because inflation has remained higher than normal for longer than expected – and that’s impacting the costs of goods, services, and more. And with rising costs all around you, you’re probably questioning: is now really the right time to buy a home?

Here’s the good news. Owning a home is actually one of the best ways to protect yourself from the rising costs that come with inflation.

A Fixed Mortgage Protects You from Rising Housing Costs

One of the key benefits of homeownership is that when you buy a home with a fixed-rate mortgage, your biggest monthly expense — your mortgage payment — stabilizes. Sure, your payment could rise slightly as your homeowner’s insurance and property taxes shift. But no matter what happens with inflation, your principal and interest payments won’t change.

That’s not the case if you rent. Rent tends to rise over time, and it usually goes up even faster than the rate of inflation. Just look at the data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the Census Bureau (see graph below):

a graph of a price increaseSo, while renters face higher costs year after year, homeowners with a fixed mortgage rate lock in their monthly payments, making it easier to budget no matter what happens with inflation.

Home Prices Typically Rise Faster Than Inflation

Another big reason homeownership is a great hedge against inflation is that home values tend to appreciate over time — often at a higher rate than inflation, according to data from the BEA and Fannie Mae (see graph below):

a graph of a price appreciationThat makes real estate one of the strongest long-term investments during times of rising prices. While inflation can chip away at the value of cash savings, real estate typically holds or grows in value, allowing you to build wealth.

On the other hand, renting offers no protection against inflation. In fact, it does the opposite — when inflation drives up costs, landlords often pass those increases onto tenants through higher rents.

That means as a renter, you’re continually paying more without gaining any financial benefit. But as a homeowner, rising prices work in your favor by increasing the value of your home and growing your equity over time.

And with experts forecasting continued home price growth, that means you’re making an investment that usually grows in value and should outperform inflation in the years ahead.

In short, a fixed-rate mortgage protects your budget, and home price appreciation grows your net worth. That’s why homeownership is a strong hedge against inflation.

Bottom Line

Inflation can make everyday expenses unpredictable, but owning a home gives you stability. Unlike rent, your monthly mortgage payment stays pretty much the same over time. Plus, the value of your home is likely to increase after you buy.

How would having a fixed housing payment change the way you budget for the future?

A unique opportunity for homebuyers this spring

~ bwebster

The spring season presents a unique opportunity for savvy homebuyers to get ahead in the market. While many are waiting on the sidelines for rates to drop, those who act now can reap significant benefits.

Recent market trends show that inventory levels and new listings have increased, offering a wider selection of homes for buyers. This temporary lull in competition means you have more negotiating power and time to find your perfect home without the pressure of bidding wars.

By purchasing now, you’re not just securing a home; you’re making a smart investment. Even if current mortgage rates are slightly higher, you’re locking in today’s home prices before they potentially rise more. Remember, you can always refinance when rates decrease, but you can’t go back in time to buy at today’s prices.

Moreover, by acting now, you’ll be settled into your new home while others are still waiting and watching. You’ll have the advantage of enjoying your space, building equity, and potentially benefiting from any market upswings.

Don’t let this opportunity pass you by. The best time to buy a home is when you’re ready, and the current market conditions are favorable for those willing to make a move. Secure your future today and get ahead of the crowd … your dream home is waiting!

While the seasonal trends in real estate are important to consider, recent market developments have added another layer of complexity to the homebuying landscape.

In late August and early September, we saw a sudden improvement in mortgage rates, which prompted many buyers who had been waiting on the sidelines to re-enter the market. This surge in activity was immediate and significant, demonstrating the pent-up demand that exists among potential homebuyers.

September brought some positive news, with Realtor.com’s “Monthly Housing Market Trends Report” showing increased inventory levels and more new listings year-over-year. However, this optimism was short-lived. October saw a sharp decline in new listings month-over-month, and the average time homes spent on the market increased to nearly two months … the slowest October in five years.

The spike in rates during October caused many buyers to retreat once again. As a result, market activity slowed considerably, with homes staying on the market longer and inventory levels rising.

These recent fluctuations underscore the importance of being prepared and ready to act when market conditions are favorable. While waiting for the perfect moment, you might miss out on opportunities. Remember, you can always refinance your mortgage in the future if rates improve, but you can’t go back in time to purchase at today’s prices if they continue to rise.

For those considering buying a home, it’s crucial to work with a knowledgeable real estate professional who can help you navigate these market dynamics and identify the best opportunities, regardless of the season or current rate environment.

Download the Homeownership Today report that presents a case that acting now may be better than waiting.