Lake Geneva Real Estate News

General Real Estate News

Buying Real Estate Is Still the Best Long-Term Investment

~ bwebster

Lately, it feels like every headline about the housing market comes with a side of doubt. Are prices going up or down? Are we headed for a crash? Will rates ever come down? And all the media noise may leave you wondering: does it really make sense to buy a home right now?

But here’s one thing that doesn’t get enough airtime. Real estate has always been about the long game. And when you look at the big picture, not just the latest clickbait headlines, it’s easy to see why so many people say it’s still the best investment you can make – even now.

According to the just-released annual report from Gallup, real estate has been voted the best long-term investment for the 12th year in a row. That’s over a decade of beating out stocks, gold, and bonds as America’s top pick.

a graph of different colored squaresAnd this isn’t new. Real estate usually claims the #1 title. But here’s what’s really interesting. This year’s results came in just after a rocky April for the stock and bond markets. It shows that, even as other investments had wild swings, real estate has held its ground. That’s likely because it gains value in a steadier, more predictable way. As Gallup explains:

“Amid volatility in the stock and bond markets in April, Americans’ preference for stocks as the best long-term investment has declined. Gold has gained in appeal, while real estate remains the top choice for the 12th consecutive year.”

That says a lot. Even though things may feel a bit uncertain in today’s economy, real estate can still be a powerful investment.

Yes, home values are rising at a more moderate pace right now. And sure, in some markets, prices may be flat in the year ahead or even dip a little – but that’s just the short-term view. Don’t let that cloud the bigger picture.

Real estate has a long track record of gaining value over time. That’s the kind of growth you can count on, especially if you plan to live in that home for a long time.

That’s part of why Americans continue to buy-in to homeownership – even when the headlines may sound a little uncertain. As Sam Williamson, Senior Economist at First American, says:

“A home is more than just a place to live—it’s often a family’s most valuable financial asset and a cornerstone to building long-term wealth.”

Bottom Line

Real estate isn’t about overnight wins. It’s about long-term gains. So, don’t let the uncertainty in a shifting market make you think it’s a bad time to buy.

If you’re feeling unsure, just remember: Americans have consistently said real estate is the best long-term investment you can make. And if you want more information about why so many people think homeownership is worth it, let’s chat.

A Newly Built Home May Be Less Expensive Than You Think

~ bwebster

Do you think a brand-new home means a bigger price tag? Think again.

Right now, something unique is happening in the housing market. According to the Census and the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median price of newly built homes is actually lower than the median price for existing homes (ones that have already been lived in):

a graph of sales and pricesYou read that right. That brand new, never-been-lived-in house may cost less than the one built 20 years ago in a neighborhood just down the street. So, if you wrote off a new build because you assumed they’d be financially out of reach, here’s what you should know. You could be missing out on some of the best options in today’s housing market.

Why Are Newly Built Homes Less Expensive Right Now?

1. Builders Are Building Smaller Homes

Builders know that buyers are struggling with affordability today. So, instead of building big houses that may not sell, they’re building smaller ones that will. According to the Census, the average size of a newly built single-family home has dropped considerably over the past few years (see graph below):

a graph of a growing graphAnd as size goes down, the price often does too. Smaller homes use fewer materials, which makes them less expensive to build. That helps builders keep prices lower so more people can afford them.

2. Builders Are Offering Price Cuts and Incentives

In May, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), 34% of builders lowered their prices, with an average price drop of 5%. That’s because they want to be sure they’re selling the inventory they have before they build more.

On top of that, 61% of builders also offered sales incentives – like helping with closing costs or buying down your mortgage rate. These are all ways builders are making their homes more affordable, so these homes sell in today’s market.

Your Next Step? Ask Your Agent What’s Available Near You

If you’re trying to buy a home right now, be sure to talk to your agent to find out what builders are doing in and around your area. They can find new home communities, as well as builders who are offering incentives or discounts, and hidden gems you might not uncover on your own.

Plus, buying a newly built home often means there are different steps in the process than if you purchase a home that’s been lived in before. That’s why it’s so important to have your own agent who can explain the fine print. You want a pro in your corner to advocate for you, negotiate on your behalf, and make sure your best interests come first.

Bottom Line

You could get a home that’s brand new, with modern features, at a price that’s even lower than some older homes. Let’s talk about what you’re looking for and see if a newly built home is the right fit for you.

If buying a home is on your to-do list, what would stop you from exploring newly built options?

Creative Financing Options for Rental Investments

~ bwebster

As experienced real estate investors reach the limits of conventional financing options, creative approaches become essential for continued portfolio growth. Here are eight innovative financing strategies to help you expand your rental property investments beyond traditional boundaries:

House Hacking offers a clever entry point for investors looking to maximize their purchasing power. By utilizing owner-occupied loans like FHA or VA, you can secure a property with minimal down payment and favorable terms. The strategy involves living in the property initially, then transitioning it to a rental once you’ve met occupancy requirements. This approach not only provides a cost-effective way to acquire property but also allows you to gain hands-on landlord experience while building equity.

Seller Financing presents a flexible alternative to traditional mortgages. By negotiating directly with the property owner, you can often secure more favorable terms, including lower down payments and interest rates. This method can be particularly advantageous when dealing with motivated sellers or in markets where conventional financing is challenging. Seller financing agreements can be tailored to suit both parties, potentially offering a win-win situation for buyer and seller alike.

Portfolio Loans cater specifically to real estate investors, especially those managing multiple properties. Unlike conventional loans sold on the secondary market, portfolio lenders retain these loans in-house, allowing for more flexible underwriting criteria. This can be particularly beneficial for investors with complex financial situations or those seeking to finance properties that don’t meet standard lending guidelines. Portfolio loans often consider the overall strength of your investment portfolio rather than focusing solely on individual property metrics.

Private Money Lending taps into the resources of individual investors or small groups willing to fund your real estate purchases. These arrangements often offer faster approval and closing processes compared to traditional lenders. While interest rates may be higher, the speed and flexibility of private money can be invaluable in competitive markets or for time-sensitive deals. Cultivating relationships with private lenders can provide a reliable source of capital for future investments.

The BRRRR Strategy (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) is a powerful method for building a rental portfolio with limited capital. This approach involves purchasing distressed properties at below-market prices, renovating to increase value, renting to establish cash flow, then refinancing to extract equity for the next investment. The BRRRR method allows investors to recycle their initial capital, potentially growing their portfolio faster than with traditional buy-and-hold strategies.

Cross Collateralization leverages equity from properties you already own as collateral for new loans. This strategy can significantly reduce the need for large cash down payments on new acquisitions. By using existing equity, investors can expand their portfolios more rapidly. However, it’s crucial to carefully consider the risks, as multiple properties may be at stake if financial difficulties arise.

Hard Money Loans provide short-term financing options ideal for quick purchases or properties requiring significant renovation. While these loans typically come with higher interest rates, they offer rapid approval and closing processes, which can be crucial in competitive markets. Hard money lenders focus primarily on the property’s potential value rather than the borrower’s creditworthiness, making them an attractive option for deals that might not qualify for conventional financing.

Partnerships and Joint Ventures allow investors to combine resources and expertise. By teaming up with other investors, you can pool capital, share risks, and leverage complementary skills. This approach can be particularly effective for larger or more complex investments that might be out of reach for individual investors. Clear agreements outlining roles, responsibilities, and profit-sharing are essential for successful partnerships.

As you explore these creative financing options, remember that each strategy carries its own set of risks and rewards. Careful due diligence, thorough financial analysis, and possibly consultation with legal and financial professionals are crucial steps in determining the best approach for your investment goals and circumstances.

Download our Rental Investment information guide.

Rent or Buy a Home, Which is Better?

~ bwebster

You’ve probably asked yourself lately: Is it even worth trying to buy a home right now?

With high home prices and stubborn mortgage rates, renting can seem like the safer choice right now. Or maybe your only choice. That’s a very real feeling. And perhaps buying today isn’t your best move; it’s not for everyone right away. You should only buy a home when you’re ready and able to do it, and if the timing is right for you.

But here’s the thing you need to know about renting.

While it may feel like a safer bet today – and in some areas might even be less expensive month-to-month than owning – it can really cost you more over time.

In fact, a recent Bank of America survey found that 70% of aspiring homeowners worry about what long-term renting means for their future. And they’re not wrong.

Owning a home may seem way out of reach, but if you make a plan now and steadily work toward it, homeownership comes with serious long-term financial benefits.

Homeownership Builds Wealth Over Time

Buying a home isn’t just about having a place to live – it’s a step toward building your future wealth.

Why? Home prices typically rise over time, which means the longer you wait, the more expensive it is to buy. And even in some markets where home prices are softening today, the overall long-term trend speaks for itself (see graph below):

a graph of a price of houses sold in the united statesAnd as home values rise, so does your equity when you’re a homeowner. That’s the difference between what your home is worth and what you owe. So, with every mortgage payment, that equity grows. Over time, that becomes part of your net worth.

Today, the average homeowner’s net worth is nearly 40X greater than that of a renter. That’s a shocking difference, and the dollars in the visual below don’t lie (see graph below):

a green rectangle with white textAnd it’s one of the big reasons why Forbes says:

“While renting might seem like [the] less stressful option . . . owning a home is still a cornerstone of the American dream and a proven strategy for building long-term wealth.”

The Biggest Downside of Renting

So, short-term, why does renting feel like a simpler choice? Lower monthly payments, less responsibility, no strings attached. But long-term? It can sting.

For decades, while home prices have been rising, rent has gone up too. And while rent has held rather steady more recently, history shows the overall trend is up and to the right. That makes saving for a home more complicated than ever (see graph below):

a graph of a number of peopleThat kind of financial uncertainty has a real impact. In the same Bank of America survey, 72% of potential buyers said they worry rising rent could affect their current and long-term finances.

Because rent doesn’t build wealth. It doesn’t come back to you later. It pays your landlord’s mortgage – not yours.

So, whether you rent or own, you’re paying a mortgage. The question is: whose mortgage do you want to pay?

Renting vs. Buying: What Really Matters

Think of it this way. Renting means your money is gone once you pay it. Owning means your payment builds equity – like a savings account you can live in. Sure, buying comes with responsibility. But it also comes with the kind of reward that grows over time. And that’s why you need a solid plan to get there.

As Joel Berner, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

“Households working on their budget will find it much easier to continue to rent than to go through the expenses of homeownership. However, they need to consider the equity and generational wealth they can build up by owning a home that they can’t by renting it. In the long run, buying a home may be a better investment even if the short-run costs seem prohibitive.”

Bottom Line

Renting may feel more do-able today. But over time, it could cost you more – without helping you build anything for your future.

If homeownership feels out of reach today, you’re not alone. And the first step toward getting out of the rental trap is to set a plan. Let’s connect, set your specific goals, and explore your options – so you’re ready when the time is right.

Here’s The Secret To Selling Your House in Today’s Market

~ bwebster

A few years ago, homes were flying off the shelves and getting multiple offers well over their asking price. It felt like you could name your price and still have buyers lined up at the door.

But today’s housing market is different. Buyers are getting more selective now that inventory has grown. Homes are sitting a little longer. And more sellers are having to cut their prices.

So, how do you still come out on top? It all starts with one thing, pricing your house right from the start. Today, that matters more than ever – and it can make or break your sale.

There’s a Real Price Disconnect Between Buyers and Sellers

A recent survey from Realtor.com shows 81% of home sellers believe they’ll get their asking price or more. But the actual sales data shows there’s a growing gap between what sellers expect and what buyers are actually willing to pay.

In fact, an annual report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows 44% of recently sold homes went for less than the asking price. And 1 in 3 sellers had to cut their price at least once before the home sold. It’s a sign that expectations may be a little out of step with today’s reality.

Check out the graph below. It uses data from Redfin to show that asking prices (blue line) are higher than actual sales prices (green line) by a wider and wider margin:

a graph of sales and pricesThis tells you something important: not all buyers are willing to pay what many sellers are asking. That doesn’t mean you can’t sell for a great price – but it does mean you need to start with a price that reflects what people are willing to pay in today’s market.

What Happens When You Overprice Your House?

Pricing your house high initially may seem like a smart move, so you have more room to negotiate. But the reality is, an overpriced home can sit on the market and turn buyers away.

Buyers are smart. And when they see a house that’s been sitting for a while, they start to wonder what’s wrong with it. That can lead to fewer showings, less interest, and eventually, a price cut to re-ignite attention. As Realtor.com explains:

“By getting the right price early on, you can increase the odds buyers will be interested in the home. In turn, this decreases the chances the home will sit on the market for a lengthier timeline, also reducing the odds you’ll need to lower the listing price.”

The longer a house sits, the harder it can be to sell.

You Still Have a Great Opportunity – If You Price Your House Right

To avoid making this mistake, it’s important to lean on an agent who knows what’s happening locally when you set your asking price.

Your agent will look at recent local sales, buyer trends, and inventory levels to find that pricing sweet spot for your neighborhood – because it’s going to be different based on where you live.

And here’s something else to keep in mind, home prices have climbed more than 57% over the past five years. So, even if you price a bit below the number you had your sights set on, you’ll likely still be in a great position profit-wise.

With a local real estate agent’s help, you’ll attract more attention, avoid seeing your house sit on the market too long, and maximize your chances of getting a strong offer.

In today’s market, the right price works. As Mike Simonsen, Founder of Altos Research, explains:

“. . . the best properties, well priced are selling quickly in most of the country.”

Bottom Line

The market has changed, but your opportunity to sell hasn’t. You just need the right pricing plan. Let’s walk through what’s happening with prices in our area and determine what price would help your house sell quickly and for top dollar.

Explanations for Common Real Estate Terms

~ bwebster

If you’re a first-time homebuyer, chances are you’ll come across some terms you’re not familiar with. And that can be overwhelming, especially while going through one of the biggest purchases of your life.

The good news is you don’t need to be an expert on real estate jargon. That’s your agent’s job. But getting to know these basic terms will help you feel a lot more confident throughout the process.

Terms Every Homebuyer Should Know

Once you’re familiar with this terminology, you’ll have a better understanding of important details – from contracts to negotiations. So, when those big conversations happen, you’ll feel informed, in control, and able to make the best decision for your unique situation. As Redfin puts it:

“Having a basic understanding of important real estate concepts before you start the homebuying process will give you peace of mind now and could save you a fortune in the future.”

Here’s a breakdown of a few key real estate terms and definitions you should know, according to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and First American.

Appraisal: A report providing the estimated value of the home. Lenders rely on appraisals to determine a home’s value, so they’re not lending more than it’s worth.

Contingencies: Contract conditions that must be met, typically within a certain timeframe or by a specified date. For example, a home inspection is a common contingency. While you can waive these to try and make your offer more competitive, it’s generally not recommended.

Closing Costs: A collection of fees and payments made to the various parties involved in your home purchase. Ask your lender for a list of closing cost items, including attorney’s fees, taxes, title insurance, and more.

Down Payment: This varies by buyer, but is typically 3.5-20% of the purchase price of the home. There are even some 0% down programs available. Ask your lender for more information. Chances are, unless specified by your loan type of lender, you don’t need to put 20% down.

Escalation Clause: This is typically used in highly competitive markets. It’s an optional add on in a real estate contract that says a potential buyer is willing to raise their offer on a home if the seller receives a higher competing offer. The clause also includes how much a buyer is willing to pay over the highest offer.

Mortgage Rate: The interest rate you pay when you borrow money to buy a home. Consult a lender so you know how it can impact your monthly mortgage payment.

Pre-Approval Letter: A letter from a lender that shows what they’re willing to lend you for your home loan. This, plus an understanding of your savings, can help you decide on your target price range. Getting this from a lender should be one of your first steps in the homebuying process, before you even start browsing homes online.

Bottom Line

You don’t need to have all these terms memorized, but a little knowledge goes a long way. Brushing up on the basics now means fewer surprises later – and more clarity when you buy a home.

What unfamiliar real estate term or phrase have you come across that wasn’t on this list?

Let’s connect and talk through it so you have a solid understanding of what it means and where it may show up in the homebuying process.

A VA Home Loan Benefit that Many Veterans Don’t Know About

~ bwebster

For 80 years, Veterans Affairs (VA) home loans have helped countless Veterans buy a home. But even though a lot of Veterans have access to this powerful program, the majority don’t know about one of its core benefits.

According to a report from Veterans United only 3 in 10 Veterans are aware they may be able to buy a home with no down payment with a VA loan (see visual below):

a group of men in circlesThat means 7 out of every 10 Veterans could be missing out on a key homebuying advantage.

That’s why it’s so important for Veterans, and anyone who cares about a Veteran, to be aware of this program. As Veterans United explains, VA home loans:

“. . . come with a list of big-time benefits, including $0 down payment, no mortgage insurance, flexible and forgiving credit guidelines and the industry’s lowest average fixed interest rates.”

The Benefits of VA Home Loans

These loans are designed to make buying a home more achievable for those who have served. And, by extension, they also give their families the opportunity to plant roots and build equity in a home of their own. Here are some of the biggest advantages for this type of loan according to the Department of Veterans Affairs:

  • Options for No Down Payment: One of the biggest perks is that many Veterans can buy a home with no down payment at all.
  • Limited Closing Costs: With VA loans, there are limits on the types of closing costs Veterans have to pay. This helps keep more money in your pocket when you’re finalizing your purchase.
  • No Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI): Unlike many other loan types, VA loans don’t require PMI, even with lower down payments. This means lower monthly payments, which can add up to big savings over time.

If you want to learn more, your best resource for all the options and advantages of VA loans is your team of expert real estate professionals, including a local agent and a trusted lender.

Bottom Line

VA home loans offer life-changing assistance, and a trusted lender and agent can help make sure you understand the details and are ready to move forward with a solid plan.

Do you know if you’re eligible for a VA home loan? Talk to a trusted lender who can help you see if you’d qualify.

Deep Cleaning and Decluttering Made Easy…

~ bwebster

Maintaining a clean and organized home is essential for creating a comfortable and welcoming living space. Whether you’re preparing to sell your home or simply want to enjoy a clutter-free environment, taking time to declutter and deep clean can work wonders.

Not only does it help you stay organized, but it also enhances the functionality and aesthetics of your space. This article provides a comprehensive checklist of tasks to guide you through decluttering and deep cleaning your home, ensuring every corner sparkles and feels refreshed.

Decluttering Tasks:

  • Start Small: Begin with one room, drawer, or closet to avoid feeling overwhelmed.
  • Create Keep, Donate, and Discard Piles: Sort items into these categories to streamline the process.
  • Purge Expired or Unused Items:
    • Check kitchen pantries for expired food.
    • Sort through toiletries and medications for expired products.
  • Organize Closets:
    • Donate clothes you haven’t worn in the past year.
    • Use matching hangers for a neater look.
    • Store out-of-season clothing in labeled bins.
  • Streamline Paper Clutter:
    • Shred old bills and unnecessary documents.
    • Create a filing system for important papers.
  • Declutter Drawers and Cabinets:
    • Discard duplicate or broken kitchen gadgets.
    • Organize junk drawers with dividers.
  • Sort Toys and Games:
    • Donate items that are no longer used.
    • Organize with clear bins or labeled containers.
  • Clear Out the Garage or Basement:
    • Dispose of old tools, paint cans, or unused equipment.
    • Use shelving to keep the floor clear.
  • Minimize Decorations:
    • Reduce the number of knick-knacks or personal items to create a cleaner look.
    • Store sentimental items in labeled boxes.

Deep Cleaning Tasks:

  • Clean Windows and Mirrors:
    • Wash inside and out for a streak-free shine.
    • Dust and clean windowsills and tracks.
  • Dust Everything:
    • Wipe down baseboards, crown molding, and ceiling fans.
    • Clean vents and light fixtures.
    • Vacuum and Shampoo Carpets: Focus on high-traffic areas and spot-treat stains.
  • Clean and Polish Hard Floors:
    • Sweep, mop, and polish wood or tile floors.
    • Use grout cleaner for tiled surfaces.
  • Scrub Bathrooms:
    • Clean toilets, sinks, bathtubs, and showers thoroughly.
    • Remove hard water stains and reseal grout if necessary.
  • Deep Clean the Kitchen:
    • Degrease oven hoods, stovetops, and backsplashes.
    • Empty and clean the refrigerator and freezer.
    • Sanitize countertops and clean cabinet faces.
  • Refresh Upholstery and Curtains:
    • Vacuum furniture and wash removable cushion covers.
    • Launder or dry-clean curtains and drapes.
  • Eliminate Dust in Hidden Areas:
    • Clean under beds, behind appliances, and in corners.
    • Wash Walls and Doors: Wipe down scuff marks and fingerprints.
  • Deodorize and Freshen Up:
    • Use air purifiers or natural remedies like baking soda to eliminate odors.
    • Open windows for fresh air circulation.

Finishing Touches:

  • Add Greenery: Place a few indoor plants to create a refreshed and vibrant look.
  • Rotate Seasonal Decor: Keep displays relevant and minimal.
  • Organize Entryways: Create a clutter-free, welcoming first impression with tidy shoe racks and coat hooks.
  • Maintain a Cleaning Schedule: Regular upkeep can prevent the need for major decluttering sessions in the future.

A decluttered and deeply cleaned home doesn’t just look better, it feels better too. By following this checklist, you’ll create a space that’s more functional, relaxing, and inviting for yourself and your loved ones. Whether you’re tackling these tasks in one weekend or spreading them out over time, the effort will be well worth it.

Remember, maintaining a clean and organized home is an ongoing journey, so consider integrating some of these tips into your routine. Here’s to a home that brings you joy and peace of mind!

Read This First if You Are Thinking about an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage!

~ bwebster

If you’ve been house hunting lately, you’ve probably felt the sting of today’s mortgage rates. And it’s because of those rates and rising home prices that many homebuyers are starting to explore other types of loans to make the numbers work. And one option that’s gaining popularity? Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs).

If you remember the crash in 2008, this may bring up some concerns. But don’t worry. Today’s ARMs aren’t the same. Here’s why.

Back then, some buyers were given loans they couldn’t afford after the rates adjusted. But now, lenders are more cautious, and they evaluate whether you could still afford the loan if your rate increases. So, don’t assume the return of ARMs means another crash. Right now, it just shows some buyers are looking for creative solutions when affordability is tough.

You can see the recent trend in this data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). More people are opting for ARMs right now (see graph below):

a graph showing a lineAnd while ARMs aren’t right for everyone, in certain situations they do have their benefits.

How an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Works

Here’s how Business Insider explains the main difference between a fixed-rate mortgage and an adjustable-rate mortgage:

“With a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate remains the same for the entire time you have the loan. This keeps your monthly payment the same for years . . . adjustable-rate mortgages work differently. You’ll start off with the same rate for a few years, but after that, your rate can change periodically. This means that if average rates have gone up, your mortgage payment will increase. If they’ve gone down, your payment will decrease.”

Of course, things like taxes or homeowner’s insurance can still have an impact on a fixed-rate loan, but the baseline of your mortgage payment doesn’t change much. Adjustable-rate mortgages don’t work the same way.

Pros and Cons of an ARM

Here’s a little more information on why some buyers are giving ARMs another look. They offer some pretty appealing upsides, like a lower initial rate. As Business Insider explains:

“Because ARM rates are typically lower than fixed mortgage rates, they can help buyers find affordability when rates are high. With a lower ARM rate, you can get a smaller monthly payment or afford more house than you could with a fixed-rate loan.”

On the flip side, just remember, if you have an ARM, your rate will change over time. As Barron’s explains there’s the potential for higher costs later:

“Adjustable-rate loans offer a lower initial rate, but recalculate after a period. That is a plus for borrowers if rates come down in the future, or if a borrower sells before the fixed period ends, but can lead to higher costs if they hold on to their home and rates go up.”

So, while the upfront savings can be helpful now, you’ll want to think through what could happen if you’re still in that home when your initial rate ends. Because while projections show rates are expected to ease a bit over the next year or two, no forecast is guaranteed.

That’s why it’s essential to talk with your lender and financial advisor about all your options and whether an ARM aligns with your financial goals and your comfort with risk.

Bottom Line

For the right buyer, ARMs can offer some big advantages. But they’re not one-size-fits-all. The key is understanding how they work, weighing the pros and cons, and thinking through if they’d be something that would work for you financially. And that’s why you need to talk to a trusted lender and financial advisor before you make any decisions.

More Homes for Sale is a Buying Opportunity, not a Warning Sign

~ bwebster

Maybe you’ve heard the number of homes for sale has reached a recent high. And it might make you question if this is the start of another housing market crash.

But the reality is, the data proves that’s just not the case. In most areas, more inventory isn’t bad news. It’s actually a sign of the market returning to a more stable, healthy place.

What’s Going on With Inventory?

Based on the latest data from Realtor.com, inventory just hit its highest point since 2020, shown with the white line in the graph below.

But what you need to realize is, at the same time, inventory levels still haven’t returned to pre-pandemic norms (shown in gray):

a graph of different colored linesThat means there are more homes for sale now than there have been in quite some time.

And while it’s true inventory is up significantly compared to where it was over the last few years, the number of homes on the market is still well below typical levels. And that’s important context.

Why This Isn’t the Problem A Lot of People Think It Is

Some people hear inventory’s rising and immediately think about 2008. Because back then, inventory spiked just before the market crashed. But today’s situation is very different.

Here’s the key reason why. We don’t have a surplus of homes; we have a deficit to climb out of. What we’re dealing with is a long-term housing shortage – and it’s a big one.

The red bars in the graph below show all the years where housing starts (new builds) didn’t keep up with household formation, going all the way back to 2012. The deeper the bars in the graph, the more the housing deficit grew (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the value of a housing deficitAnd one of the reasons this housing shortage kept growing is because new home construction just didn’t keep up with the number of people who need to buy homes. In fact, the U.S. is actually short millions of homes at this point, and it will take years to overcome that gap. Realtor.com says:

“At a 2024 rate of construction relative to household formations and pent-up demand, it would take 7.5 years to close the housing gap.”

That means, in most areas, there isn’t a risk of having too many houses on the market right now. It’s quite the opposite – a vast majority of markets actually need more homes.

Which is why, even though inventory is rising, it’s not a problem on a national scale. It’s just helping to fill a gap that’s been growing for years.

Bottom Line

Don’t let the headlines scare you. Rising inventory isn’t a sign of a crash. It’s a step toward a more normal, stable housing market.